shows that 2008 actual IPTV subscribers ended up at about 1 million over its last forecast in late 2008, or 21.3 million, resulting in projected subscriber growth of 26.9 million in 2009 to over 81 million in 2013. Combined (last-mile) CapEx revenue plus service revenue will grow from US$9.7 billion in 2009 to US$25.6 billion in 2013.
The new IPTV forecast for 2009-2013
is both conservative and optimistic, based on very detailed semi-annual analysis that MRG does on individual Service Providers and on a country-by-country basis.
Yet, one positive indicator was strong IPTV subscriber growth of 583,000 combined for Verizon and AT&T in Q1/2009. Another is the large number of new IPTV Operators in Eastern Europe and the Rest-of-World region, moving from 64 companies to 84. Countries like Colombia, Qatar, United Arab Emirates, Montenegro and the Russian federation have seen new growth in their operations
As the IPTV market matures, many innovations are emerging, including upgrades like DVRs and MPEG-4/H.264 compression, High-definition programming, and first class System Integration. "Professional services growth is brought on by stronger regional partnerships of vendors and resellers that continue to move into smaller markets," states Alvear. "Growth in System Integration and Professional Services will also be spurred by the growth of turnkey system sales where all the components and services are heavily pre-integrated."
The report includes the market growth of six (last-mile) CapEx products plus System Integration in 4 worldwide regions, with details about these 24 sectors and the related subscriber and system revenues for 2009 to 2013.